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SelectQuote (SLQT) 4Q23 Earnings Recap

Q2 2024 SelectQuote Earnings Call Recap

Attendees

SelectQuote (SLQT)

  • Tim Danker, Chief Executive Officer
  • Ryan Clement, Chief Financial Officer
  • Matt Gunter, Investor Relations
  • Bob Grant, [Position not specified]

External Analysts

  • Jonathan Yong, Credit Suisse
  • Daniel Grosslight, Citigroup
  • Ben Hendrix, RBC

Most talked about topics

  • Medicare Advantage (MA) Enrollment and Market Dynamics: The company discussed its strategic approach towards Medicare Advantage, noting a focus on disciplined policy production aimed at improving margins and cash flow. The improved profitability in what is typically a slower quarter highlights SelectQuote's strategic execution. [Tim Danker]
  • SelectRx's Rapid Growth and Profitability: Highlighted the success of SelectRx, which has seen rapid growth and reached profitability. This success underscores SelectQuote's ability to leverage its platform to create additional businesses within healthcare services. [Tim Danker]
  • Healthcare Services Expansion: Emphasized the company's strategy to leverage its information advantage and comprehensive platform to drive consistent profit and cash flow through the expansion of Healthcare Services beyond SelectRx. [Tim Danker]

Positives

  • Strong Fiscal Year Performance: SelectQuote reported a strong fiscal year, with revenue surpassing $1 billion and adjusted EBITDA of $74 million, demonstrating the success of its strategic redesign. [Tim Danker]
  • Improved Operational Efficiency: The company saw significant improvements in operational efficiency within its core Senior business, leading to reduced operating expenses per approved policy and improved agent close rates. [Ryan Clement]
  • Stabilized Medicare Advantage Lifetime Values (LTVs): LTVs for Medicare Advantage policies stabilized, showing only a minimal decline, indicative of improved policyholder persistency and underwriting. [Ryan Clement]
  • Growth in Healthcare Services: SelectRx's membership nearly doubled over the year, and the company is exploring additional opportunities to expand its Healthcare Services, leveraging its platform to provide value-added services to seniors. [Tim Danker]
  • Cash Efficiency and Long-term Value Creation: SelectQuote improved cash efficiency across its businesses and outlined a strategy for future growth and profitability, particularly through its Healthcare Services division. [Tim Danker]

Negatives

  • Seasonal Slowdown in Fourth Quarter: Although improved, the fourth quarter is traditionally slower and involves higher investment, which impacts profitability. [Tim Danker]
  • Marketwide Shift in Medicare Advantage Plans: The marketwide shift away from standalone drug plans and adjustments in Medicare Advantage plan benefits and structures may affect customer choices and market dynamics. [Bob Grant during Q&A]
  • CMS Regulatory Changes: The company is navigating through new CMS marketing rules, which could influence marketing efficiency and agent productivity in future periods. [Bob Grant during Q&A]
  • Variable Growth Expectations: Expectations for Medicare Advantage policy volume indicate a decrease, reflecting the company's strategic focus on quality over quantity. [Ryan Clement during Q&A]
  • Dependence on Carrier Plan Designs: SelectQuote's performance is partly dependent on Medicare Advantage plan designs by carriers, which have yet to be released for the upcoming season. [Tim Danker during Q&A]

Outlook

  • Fiscal 2024 Guidance: SelectQuote provided guidance for fiscal 2024, expecting consolidated revenue in the range of $1.05 billion to $1.2 billion and adjusted EBITDA between $80 million to $105 million. [Ryan Clement]
  • Continued Focus on Profitability and Cash Flow: The company aims to prioritize profitability and cash flow, with a goal of approaching operating cash flow positive on a consolidated basis by the end of fiscal 2024. [Ryan Clement]
  • Expansion of Healthcare Services: SelectQuote plans to continue leveraging its platform for the expansion of Healthcare Services, following the success of SelectRx, to drive top and bottom-line growth. [Tim Danker]
  • Medicare Advantage Strategy: The company will continue its disciplined approach towards Medicare Advantage, aiming for high-quality policy production and leveraging improvements in operational efficiency. [Tim Danker]
  • Strategic Redesign Success: The success of SelectQuote's strategic redesign, which led to significant improvements in fiscal 2023, is expected to position the company well for continued delivery of attractive returns. [Tim Danker]

Q&A

  • Carrier Plans and Market Dynamics: Inquiry about carrier plans for the upcoming season and SelectQuote's expectations regarding market dynamics and increased shopping behavior among consumers. [Jonathan Yong question to Tim Danker]
  • Healthcare Services Investment and Growth: Questions regarding the expected investments for expanding Healthcare Services lines and how these expansions would impact the EBITDA margin for the division. [Daniel Grosslight question to Tim Danker]
  • Lead Targeting Strategies and Growth Expectations: Discussion on the lessons learned from fiscal 2023's lead targeting strategies and expectations for growth in the Senior segment, considering the anticipated increased shopping year. [Ben Hendrix question to Tim Danker]